Sunday, February 19, 2012
Is fiscal tightening pro-growth?
The theory goes like this:
Fiscal tightening means a smaller public sector. Smaller public sector means lower tax. Lower tax will induce more private investment and create more jobs. In the end the economy will grow.
But in the experience of Greece and Portugal the fiscal tightening caused loss of job and reduced pay in public sector. Because the public sector was large this means consumers have much less money to spend. The contraction in demand pushes business to withhold investment and reduce inventory, causing a further drop in investment. Economic output drops, and new investment is not in sight because the confidence are so weak.
The conservatives think if you brave the pain, overtime the confidence will return. You should not relapse on the policy tightening and business will eventually believe the new regime is for the long term. But how much longer can people bear with the recession and despair?
Saturday, February 18, 2012
台灣人民要享有決定自己命運的權利,那只有民進黨執政才有可能
A historical special case.
1. Can not become an independent country because of China and the US opposition.
2. But has the potential of permanently independent from China's rule, if its people continue to be willing to decide its own fate.
history
commentary
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
LNG is the future
Natural Gas Price has fallen since the adoption of fracking.
Natural Gas emits about half of the CO2 compare to oil. But there are caveats.
Monday, February 13, 2012
Criteria to Test Product Suitability
Net worth
Liquid net worth
Tax status
Investment objective
Age
Rish tolerance
Investment experience
Liquidity need
Investment time horizon
Saturday, February 04, 2012
Monday, January 02, 2012
Tax revenue and spending
US Budget at end of 2011
Tax revenue: 2.3 trillion
Spending: 3.6 trillion
Deficit: 1.3 trillion
GDP: 15 trillion
Deficit as a percentage of GDP: 8.7%
Break down of the tab:
Social security: 725B, 4.8%
Defense: 700B, 4.7%
Medicare: 480B, 3.2%
Medicaid: 275B, 1.8%
Other formula based, such as unemployment insurance, civilian government and military retirement, veteran's benefit, earned income tax credit, food stamp, etc: 545B, 3.6%
Interest servicing debt: 227B, 1.5%
Non-defense discretionary: 646B, 4.3%
Time wasters
The challenge is to overcome these time wasters and become more productive and effective.
Planning
over-planning
lack of written goals and deadlines
taking on too much
failure to divide projects into manageable tasks
lack specific plan of activities to meet goals selected
lack of daily planning
shifting priorities constantly
lack of contingency planning
not monitoring progress throughout the process
mis-estimating the amount of work needed
Organizing and Managing Yourself
unorganized and messy work area
lost time spent search
procrastination
lack of self discipline
unfinished projects
excessive socializing
inability to say “no”
perfectionism
lack of personal focus
Organizing and Managing Your Environment
email overload
telephone interruptions
drop-in visitors
paperwork overload
meetings
lack of authority/ misunderstood authority
duplication of effort
lack of training
inadequate equipment or facilities
unclear communication
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Religion, Science, and Politics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Level_of_support_for_evolution#US_Religious_denominations_that_dispute_evolution
WSJ reported a story about a young Egyptian Christian being beaten up for refusing to convert to Islam. Another story about an Islamic clergy cutting off a man's ear for the same reason.
Compare to Islam I have much more affinity to Christians. Christians are civil and more tolerant of religious difference.